Will the Open Mobile Internet shape our digital future radically?

The concept of an Open Mobile Internet (OMI) means different things to different people depending on their viewpoint and specialty; however the end result is still the same. The aim of the various Open Mobile Internet initiatives is to open up the restricted mobile industry value chain to create a ‘fixed-Internet’ style ecosystem to replace the existing closed network. In my worldview a true Open Mobile Internet means satisfying the following access conditions: “use any mobile device of my choice; on any network operators’ wireless network; to access any application I choose, from whomever I choose; and running whatever operating system I choose”. This is asking a lot and the actual concept can be implemented with a more flexible approach. There are alternative views that suggest that: the mobile internet should be regulated by the network operators; mobile devices should have exclusivity on a particular network; users must commit to 2–3 years with operators; and mobile applications must be acquired from the network operator.

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The current mobile Internet landscape is poised for change. Will it become a more tightly controlled mobile internet? Or merely Internet accessed from mobile devices, or will an Open Mobile Internet ecosystem emerge? The truth is, only time will reveal how the mobile Internet will evolve, however there is strong evidence that points towards a more open concept. Some of the technical initiatives that are underway are illustrated in figure one.

Open Mobile Internet Initiatives
Figure 1 : Example of Open Mobile Internet Initiatives

When the OMI eventually happens, it will bring a fundamental change to the structure of the whole mobile industry, producing new innovative business models, new partnership, and alternative routes to market for content; creating a vibrant mobile content ecosystem. The idea of an OMI concept would have been laughed at two years ago, but due to consumer demands, organizations such as Verizon, At&t, and Google have warmed to the idea. The OMI concept will effectively impact the core interests of most organizations involved in the mobile Internet industry, but at what cost? And who is likely to benefit from the emerging ecosystem? The most pressing concern of the OMI relates to the security and privacy. What novel security and privacy breaches should we expect from allowing mobile content from a variety of sources?

The Iphone vs Gphone comparison is a distraction.

Mobile experts are currently occupied writing or reading device functionality comparisons between the I-Phone and Gphone, providing a distraction from the fact that the Gphone was built on an open source platform called Android. Being open source means that any other media conglomerate can legitimately implement the same code creating their unique branded platform such as an APhone for the Amazon mobile platform, or CPhone for Coke platform or for arguments sake, the O-Phone (open phone). Conceptually, it is really that easy and more important it is free.

In reality, it is not that simple, there are three additional pieces of the puzzle (illustrated in figure 2) that must be addressed. The first is access to mobile content via an application market place, the second is selecting a suitable mobile device, and the third piece is implementing the device on an appropriate mobile network.

Solving the Open mobile Internet Puzzle
Figure 2: Solving the Open mobile Internet Puzzle

Mobile Content via a vibrant Marketplace

The first question that needs to be addressed if the traditional model of network operators providing mobile content (on-deck content) is discarded, is what are the business models for alternative channels for content, software and services; and how will open environments such as Google’s Android compare with closed systems like on deck and I-Phone marketplace?

Mobile content on an open device has advantages over the traditional internet content on a fixed device such as a desktop due to nnovations such as locations and navigation features, cameras with barcode scanning software, touch screen capabilities, support for multiple network types and access to web2.0 applications. These innovations will facilitate the development of innovative and interactive content by independent developers. The network operators are in a unique position to take advantage of the new content by offering flat fee usage to customers and receiving a profit share from the content providers and application developers.

Since the launch of the I-Phone application market place, it has become clear that the mobile industry value chain is evolving and the convergence with the Internet type applications is now a reality. The delivery of content such as software applications or multimedia files via sources other than network operators is described as off-deck. The fast growing off-deck universe is opening new channels and routes to market for independent content developers. This approach makes it easier to connect content and services with customers.

It is important to stress that even though the I-Phone model is off desk, it a closed system, an example of an open system would be Google’s android system or the Linux LIMO. Running a mobile application marketplace can actually be a profitable venture. Apples I-Phone application store was alleged to have 60 million downloads in its first month generating $70 million for independent developers, and $30m for Apple.

Like the I-phone platform, anyone can write programs for the GPhone and hence the
O-phone. Google has recently launched the Android developer challenge, which will provide $10 million in awards to independent developers for building innovative applications on the Android platform. If the OMI platform is branded, applications can be ‘policed’ for suitability and decency similar to the I-Phone market place, policing is the correct term based on grumblings from some of the I-Phones application developers, who believe that their applications have been pulled from the marketplace with little or no reasonable explanation. It critical that there is some form of gateway regulations or the proliferation of malware and viruses may be deployed in a similar manner to the fixed internet.

Open converged devices will rule the airwaves

The second piece of the puzzle is the availability of open converged devices. Mobile device have undergone tremendous convergence, incorporating GPS receivers, high resolution camera and video recorders. The next generation phones will support barcode scanning, motion detection, auto sensing, ultra sensitive touch screen capabilities and RFID support; paving the way for innovative applications and services.

In addition to the HTC phone used by Google, there are currently three additional devices that will run android operating system, LG, Motorola and a Samsung device. The key to the OMI lies with the partnership deals with the network operator. To ensure that content can be distributed to a wider audience, it would be more beneficial not to have a device exclusivity deal with a particular mobile network operator. The fundamental principle of an open network is choice, and even though a consumer may be offered a wide choice of independently developed applications, forcing the consumer to sign a 2 – 3 year contract with a particular network, they may or may not like, is hardly enticing for the consumer. It was disappointing to see that Google opted for an exclusivity deal with T-Mobile in the UK.

Personal Broadband delivered via an open wireless network.

The final piece of the puzzle is the availability of an open mobile network that is capable of broadband spends. When considering an open mobile network, the burning question is what is the rationale for a network operator to open up their network to 3rd party’s’ devices / applications? There is no longer any doubt that the last major barrier in the OMI saga has finally crumbled. In the past, network operators have been strong advocates of the closed network and ‘on deck’ applications, but it now seems that the U.S. wireless industry is moving toward a more competitive framework. It is difficult to speculate on why an open approach is being considered, however the US Federal Communications Commission (FCC) decision to impose open-access rules in the last spectrum auction may have helped the decision. The rules stipulate that companies that won the recent spectrum licenses are mandated to ensure that all mobile phones, including those from rival networks must work on their networks. T-Mobile, Verizon Wireless and AT&T/Sprint have all implemented initiatives that reflect a shift from the traditional model, to opening up their network to third party devices and content. The network operators may be concerned about the potential loss of revenue, but they are also keen to take control of the lucrative data usage that will be generated from the new devices and content being deployed on mobile networks. A locked network delivering a small set of application to a limited user base may not be the smart thing to do if there is a sudden increase of usage from open devices. In March 2008, Verizon launched an open-network initiative by distributing the technical specifications that will allow non-Verizon devices to work on their network. Eight hundred companies have been reported to have downloaded the specification; this highlights the growing popularity of this trend.

The next major evolution in open networks will see the full convergence of both mobile and broadband technologies to create a phenomenon called Personal Broadband. Consumers are demanding services that are personal, convenient and affordable. The ethos of the 3Ws – ‘whatever content’, ‘whenever I want it, ‘wherever I am’ is a significant shift from the current approach of internet connectivity. The mobile devices that are expected to start this revolution are already available; however, the final key to the puzzle is the availability of regional and national wireless broadband network. An important milestone will be reached early 2009 when Sprint plans to launch a national WiMAX network. The WiMAX network has the capability to support any device with embedded with a processer such as Laptops, Smartphone’s or PDA. The new network is expected to offer flexible subscription terms, which allow users to access high speed mobile networks without 3 years contracts, similar to WiFi hotspot business models.

Summary
There are phenomenal implications of combining “open” software, “open” hardware on an “open” network? The current traditional closed mobile Internet could transform into a vibrant ecosystem in which the network operator, content provider and application developers, operate together with revenue sharing business models. There is no technical reason why a large media or entertainment organization cannot enter this market as the barrier to entry has been flattened with the open source platform called Android, which is similar to the I-Phone platform. The Android platform is a platform that will see an abundance of programs which will evolve into a profitable marketplace for developers. The other factor is the open network availability question, and there are strong positive moves from network operators and the US regulators with this regard. The future looks bright and it seems that an Open Mobile Internet is about to be unleashed.

About Dr. Phillip Olla

Dr Phillip Olla is the endowed Phillips Chair of Management and Professor of MIS at the school of business at Madonna University in Michigan USA. His research interests include Mobile Health, Space research, Mobile telecommunication, and health informatics. In addition to University level teaching, Dr. Phillip Olla is also a Chartered Engineer and has over 15 years experience as an independent Consultant and has worked in the telecommunications, space, financial and healthcare sectors. He was contracted to perform a variety of roles including Chief Technical Architect, Program Manager, Solutions Designer and Director. Dr Olla has also participated in various activities to define procedures for sharing and maintaining knowledge generated from space activities between member Space agencies in conjunction with an international group that contained members from CNES, NASA, ESA, and ISRO. He has also worked on workshops and steering committees for the UN and OECD. Dr Olla has also worked on a wide variety of pioneering and innovative European telecoms projects in conjunction with mobile network operators and mobile service providers including British Telecom, Hutcinson 3G, T-Mobile and IBM Global Services. Dr Olla is the Associate Editor for the Journal of Information Technology Research and the Editor Board for the International Journal of Healthcare Information Systems and Informatics, Phillip is also a member of the Editorial Advisory & Review Board for the Journal of Knowledge Management Practice. Dr. Phillip Olla has a PhD in Mobile Telecommunications from Brunel University in the UK, he is an accredited Press member of the British Association of Journalism and a Chartered IT Professional with the British Computing Society, and he has published numerous peer reviewed articles along with 3 books.

One thought on “Will the Open Mobile Internet shape our digital future radically?

  1. The question right now is, if Google is capable to get some central control over the Android developer community cause otherwise it will fail like any other Linux distribution, that was aiming for the consumer-market. The $10 million contest is about a year old now (or even more) and i have to admit, that the G1 interface, the backend and the whole ecosystem of Android is lightyears behind the one from Apple.

    That’s still the problem of uncontrolled developement. And i am not saying that because i love closed software but i finally wanna see a change in the Open Source scene.

    Android is just not competitive right now and it will get squeezed in between the iPhone and upcoming stuff from Nokia and Palm. Of course, i am talking cellular right now cause all these affords to force Intel to get some Android netbook platforms on the market(venturebeat.com is trying everything to talk their readers and Intel into it) are just some wishful thinkings.

    It’s a long way to go for Android but they need control over the whole project. Not over any application developement but about the fundamental usability of the software.

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